“The economy stupid” phrase was first coined by James
Carville in 1992, while he was Bill Clinton’s strategist. It was true then as it was true in the most
recent election. Democrats might be stupefied
that the current economy was a factor when looked at through the traditional
lens of professional economists. The
reality is that there are all those fancy numbers, charts, studies, analyses, and
formulas that consider unemployment, stock market trends, building permits,
consumer expectations, credit indexes, etc., but those things don’t matter to
the average voter. A rosy stock market
doesn’t matter to those who don’t participate.
The most important economic factor is perception. Your perception changes depending on whether
or not you are looking up or looking down.
Those in the stock market with investment portfolios have a totally
different perspective than others who gauge the economy on their perceived
position in the overall economy. If they
see that some people are doing much better than they are doing, the fact that
they have enough to eat, a roof over their heads, etc., isn’t as important as
the fact that they could be doing much better.
With years of forced income inequality, the wealth gap has
become a chasm. Low wages, union limitations,
right-to-work laws, and limited educational opportunities, combined with monopolistic
price gouging for consumer goods, food, and fuel all lead to a continuing perception
of a poor economy. People in this
situation will always be looking for a change.
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