Saturday, September 16, 2017

Hurricanes for Dummies


When it comes to hurricanes, we are all dummies.  It seems that the more we know about hurricanes, the more they prove that we don’t.  Hurricanes seem to reduce everyone’s IQ down about 20 points.  For our politicians this loss is particularly devastating because most can’t spare that much.  Some actually end up with negative numbers.  You see, with all the scientific study and analysis of hurricanes, we can’t predict what they are doing, how strong they will be, or where they are going with any certainty.  In fact, the scientific term for this is, The Cone of Uncertainty.  With the 2017 hurricane season upon us with a vengeance, it is time we reexamine what we do know.  Harvey, Irma, and Jose have all managed to affect this Florida writer to some degree




The one-eyed monster that was Irma has gone to where all such evil storms go to die, somewhere, but not here.  Like an annoying relative, she wasn’t welcome, made our lives miserable for a short while, and we were glad to see her leave.  Now we are left to clean up the mess she made.

For those of you who have never had the pleasure of experiencing a hurricane, I thought I would provide you with a brief insight to what you have missed.  I will also comment on some of the misconceptions regarding hurricanes, some tips on hurricane preparedness, a few hurricane facts, and some random miscellaneous thoughts that pop into my head at strange times.

First, how do hurricanes form and who’s to blame?  Just ask a scientist this question and they will try to dazzle you with things like the earth’s rotational pull, lunar deflection, ozone layers, temperature inversions, millibars, candy bars, La Nina, El Nino, random adult Mexicans, and Obama or Trump depending on party affiliation.  These scientific explanations are then related to the general public by weathermen and weather women who got their jobs because they were either handsome or pretty enough for television, but too stupid for the news desk.  You know they are stupid because nobody with even a modicum of intelligence would: put on a rain slicker, stand in a puddle, watch lightning striking all around, show you rain “falling” parallel to the ground, lean into a blowing wind that could topple a tractor trailer, and all while telling you that you would be really stupid if you did exactly the same thing.


The sanity of weather reporters is in question.


Irma was a very naughty girl.  She showed Miami her dirty side, the infamous northeast quadrant.  As hurricanes spin in their seductive counterclockwise dance, the second most dangerous place to be after the actual eye, is the northeast quadrant.  The winds here are much stronger than in the other three-quarters.  Why this occurs is referred to in scientific circles as “shit happens.”

In advance of any such storm, governors like to issue mandatory evacuations.  They don’t always know why but the last guy in their position did this and they certainly don’t want to miss such an excellent opportunity.  Mandatory evacuations are somewhat misleading.  The term was developed by government lawyers to avoid liability if you stay and something like a 2x4 through your brain happens.  During the prelude to Irma, I got texts and calls from friends telling me that the governor just ordered the mandatory evacuation of Florida.  Such an order might be OK in Montana or North Dakota with populations the size of a quilting bee, but here in Florida we can barely move on our highways on a good day. 


Hurricane Evacuation


Airports could help but you would be forced to wait in long lines and then you would be told your flight was cancelled because the flight crew had the good sense to stay home.  This happened to my neighbor, twice.  Her luggage is now somewhere between Miami and Trinidad, but she is still here. American Airlines told her that they, after cancelling two of her flights due to their negligence, will not be responsible for getting her luggage back to her.  Her daughter went to the airport to try to retrieve their luggage a week after the cancelled flights and American informed her that, “it isn’t ready yet, come back later.”

Driving to escape a hurricane is also generally a very bad idea.  It’s like seeing that shorter line at the grocery store, if you make the move, the woman in front of you will have at least one strange unpriced piece of produce and want to write a check from a checkbook in the bottom of a purse the size of Christmas mail sack.  During Irma, many people left Miami to go to Tampa, then the predicted hurricane track drifted west and they had to try to make the trip back on crowded roads with little or no available gas.

Where did we leave Timmy?


Hurricane shelters are wonderful places to hide from a storm if you like sleeping on a floor with three hundred strangers who won’t be able to bathe for several days.  The shelters that also take pets will certainly reward you with a wonderful olfactory experience.  The decision to go to a shelter is based on several factors.  If you can actually see the ocean or bay from your home and can’t tread water for 12 hours, you might want to seek higher ground in a shelter or with friends.  If you are a climate change denier, you should definitely stay home because you don’t trust scientists and those are the guys making these stupid hurricane predictions.  Hell, scientists believe in gravity and we all know that is a myth.

If, like me, you decide to stay home, you need to spend the days before the storm getting ready.  You see, unlike tornadoes, which give you 23 seconds notice to plunge head first into your cellar; hurricanes give you days of warnings that change with every prediction.  You get to worry about your demise and the loss of all things material for a hundred hours or more.  If you try to dive into a Florida cellar, you will definitely damage something, like your face.  You can dig 4 feet almost anywhere in Florida and find either water or the bones from an unsolved crime.  On the news, you regularly see some guy in the Midwest describing how the tornado that just plowed through his trailer park sounded like a freight train, just know that hurricanes sound same.  Only, instead of 2 minutes of noise it’s more like 10 hours of a mind-numbing roar.

Sound that tornadoes and hurricanes make.


For that hurricane preparation around your home the general rule is, if you can lift it, tie it down, or bring it inside.  Just remember, if you bring in potted plants or baskets you will also be bringing in whatever critters live in those plants.  My neighbor’s son told me his mom brought about a hundred and eighty orchids inside and, at night, the house now it sounds like old Tarzan movie.  Between the crickets chirping and frogs croaking, nobody can get any sleep.  This same neighbor later related that, while she was sleeping, she felt something cold plop on her arm.  She smacked whatever it was and jumped out of bed.  When the lights came on she saw a small frog on her bed.  He/she (determining the sex of a frog was not on her mind at the time) was a bit shorter and wider than he had been just seconds ago.  She swiped at it again and it jumped to her wall.  She ran and got her can of flying bug spray as she was totally out of jumping frog spray.  She sprayed and sprayed the invader until it was rendered senseless.  For all the rest of the frog population in her house she will have to wait until the frogs eat all the crickets and, lacking any other food source, eventually die of starvation.


Bring in the plants, watch for hitchhikers


Bad spot to park your car


If you own a new car, park it safely.  If you have an insured clunker, park it near a big tree.  If you listen to the local news, they will tell you that you need to buy up all the bottled water you can carry.  This gives the news crews something to do as they report from the crowded grocery stores where frantic people scramble to buy water from empty shelves.  The old Florida adage is that, while you may be able to get blood from a turnip, you can’t get water from an empty shelf.  I saw several text messages where people were asking if anyone knew where they could get water.  I’m still not sure why the kitchen faucet didn’t come to mind.



Buy Water


Hurricanes are a good excuse for buying food you have the good sense not to eat during less stressful times.  It is a scientific dietetic fact that all calories are suspended during hurricanes.  It seems that low-pressure systems, like hurricanes, suck all of the calories out of junk food.  I know this is true because I read it on the Internet.  Food pairings here are critical.  You must make sure that whatever you buy for food goes with your selection of alcohol.  Just know that you will be consuming alcohol in copious amounts.  Your decisions will be along the lines of, which red wine goes good with a meal of peanut butter and jelly sandwiches, Goldfish, and chocolate.  The answer is a fine Cabernet Sauvignon or a Pinot Grisio 


What wine goes with PB&J?


Anecdotally, Sue and I, found the perfect food for hurricane survival.  It was a Tortuga Caribbean Rum Cake.  Ours was a gift from a friend that we stored in our garage refrigerator.   Alcohol and desert, what's not to like.  Now, this particular cake had a label that indicated it was best if served within 6 months of purchase.  The fact that this cake had been in our refrigerator for over 3 years did not deter two Irma survivors in search of a treat.  I made sure it would be OK by adding a "little" extra Caribbean Rum.  Sue also found some vanilla cream liquor which we poured over the top, just for flavor you know.  It worked, nobody died.  I think it was delicious.

For Miami, Irma was a tropical storm and not a hurricane.  This just means that we didn’t have sustained winds of over 74 mph.  We had strong gusts, probably in the 100 mph range, but not the sustained winds that would qualify for hurricane status.  Miamians may not legally wear an “I Survived Hurricane Irma” tee shirt.  They still may qualify for an, “I survived a 12 hour CNN Hurricane Irma broadcast,” or the ever-popular “I Lasted 6 Days with No Internet.”

In Miami, we had general flooding of most of our coastal areas.  This is not unusual because currently, we have coastal flooding during any full moon that occurs in a month with a vowel in the name.  We also lost power over a large area of Miami-Dade County during this “storm event.”  Realistically, we can lose power if more than three Miamians sneeze at the same time.  This is to say that, after 3 billion dollars in Florida Power and Light upgrades, our electrical infrastructure is still more fragile than Donald Trump’s ego.  I have it on good authority that Irma, while a previous Marco Rubio supporter, voted for the Commander in Tweet.


Normal High Tide Full Moon Day Miami Beach


The double-whammy for Miami is that Irma got married in Africa to a nasty SOB named Harvey. They had an infant son, Jose.  It seems that Harvey decided to take a vacation in Texas and Irma went looking for him.  Harvey then managed to knock out much of the infrastructure (refineries) where Florida gets its gasoline.  Then his nasty wife Irma, headed west, managed to stumble through Florida, and proceeded to knock down every power line and light pole she could find.  The Florida fallback when the power goes out is the portable generator, most of which need gasoline to run.  There is nothing more pleasant than enjoying 90-degree weather with 78% humidity and no AC.  At night, you can be lulled to sleep to the cacophony of neighborhood generators.




During the recovery and aftermath of hurricane Irma, our illustrious governor Rick Scott managed to put the DUH back in FloriDUH, with an exclamation point!  While much of his audience listened to his words on portable battery operated radios, he recommended that the solution to all our information needs could be found at WWW.blahblahbla.gov.  We could also file for disaster assistance at WWW.FEMA.gov.  With 6 million people without electrical power, 45% of cell towers inoperable, and local home Internet virtually shut down, this intellectual giant is recommending that everyone log on to government web sites for assistance.  You’ll have to forgive our Little Ricky, he’s from Tallahassee.  [This is a parody stolen from the British comedy series Fawlty Towers where a certain character’s lack of intelligence was explained as, “He’s from Barcelona.”].  


Fawlty Towers (Manuel from Barcelona)


This level of stupidity isn’t restricted to government; corporate ignorance also shines a bright light in times like these, even without power.  ATT, my service provider, tells everyone to log on to their website to report problems with your inability to do just that.  Hell, they even have it on their recording when you call.  You have already told the robotic voice, that claims to understand your complete sentences, that your Internet is down, and she will direct you to their website to solve your issues.

Hurricane Irma also pointed out the fragility of our modern infrastructure.  After previous hurricanes, the Florida brain trust regularly gathered to analyze the problems and recommend solutions.  We are very good at this part of the process.  Our guys can recommend with the best of them.  What we aren’t very good at is actually following those recommendations.




In hurricane and flood prone Florida, we still have wooden power poles with transmission lines run through large trees that will topple like bowling pins during a 300 game.  The trees then pull down the lines and snap the poles putting entire neighborhoods in the dark.  We also seem to have gotten used to having access to telephones wherever we go and these rely on cell towers.  Both cell towers and Internet transmission lines can be cut, ripped out of the ground, or toppled, and the power they need to operate can be disrupted.  While I grew up in a time period without AC, the Internet, or a phone system that wasn’t attached to a kitchen wall or mounted in a booth, I now call this the Stone Age.  I don’t like it and don’t want to go back.  However, as any Floridian will tell you, a good hurricane can have you humming The Flintstones theme song in a heartbeat.




After hurricane Irma passed, we all assessed the damages.  Luckily, for me, that damage was restricted mostly to landscaping.  My wife’s car, which is normally a pale blue, was now green as it was covered in chlorophyll laden shredded foliage.  After you haul all the broken tree stuff to a pile in your front yard it is time to undo what you spent the previous week doing in preparation.  This is the UN period where you un-strap, un-tie, and un-shutter all the stuff you strapped, tied, and shuttered before the most recent climatic inconvenience.  This is an inconvenient truth.

I also had to break out my portable generator, 14 miles of extension cords, and my portable air conditioning unit.  Since these are things that get used once every ten to fifteen years or so, remembering what goes where and how things actually operate can be challenging.  Case in point, my generator hooks to a natural gas (NG) line with a long hose.  This hose is filled with air and not NG.  I pulled and pulled and pulled on the starter cord trying to flush out the feed line.  When I was worn out, after my 4 ½ pulls, my younger neighbor took over.  When he got tired, another neighbor tried.  After several dozen pulls of the starter cord, the engine roared to life.  It wasn’t until after the power came back on and I was putting the generator back in storage that I saw and remembered the tiny bleeder button that would have primed the hose in seconds.  Another FloriDUH moment.

By way of a second example, my portable AC unit gets set up in my bedroom.  Almost everything is simple and straightforward.  When I turned it on, I used the Mode button to go through the available graphics, as they don’t use words anymore.  I landed on the graphic of a snowflake and assumed it meant Cool.  I waited and waited and waited and the room was just as hot as it ever was.  It wasn’t until after the power came back on later in the day that I realized the proper graphic was a water drop. To the inscrutable Oriental mind that obviously designed this unit, Snowflake means it’s snowing and you need Heat.  Water drop means high humidity and Cool.  Time for another slap at the forehead, which is now beginning to turn red.

We were without power during the hurricane and for most of the next day.  With our two refrigerators running from the generator and my portable AC heating my bedroom, I walked to my liquor cabinet and pulled out an unopened bottle of Green Spot Irish Whiskey.  This is something I know how to operate.  I changed the official status of my Green Spot from unopened to opened and ready for business.  I poured a nice sized glass of the golden “water of life” and told my wife that we needed a bit of Irish luck.  I took my first sip and the power came back on.  We stared at each other in disbelief and started laughing.  Literally exhausted from spending the day setting up our temporary power solution, all it took was a little Irish whiskey.


Luck of the Irish, Uisce Beatha (water of life aka whiskey)


Now, with Harvey and Irma behind us, we turned to our long awaited vacation.  We are due in Boston for our fall cruise up to Canada on Wednesday.  We turned on the news and what do we see, hurricane Jose after spinning around in the Atlantic is now headed up the east coast to the Boston area.  Yes, Boston is within the Jose Cone of Uncertainty for the day of our arrival.  I am now a fan of President Trump’s Immigration Policy and hope that he can keep our country free from this immigrant.  I know Jose doesn’t have a green card as he is barely two weeks old.  No DACA amnesty for this foreigner.


What is the take-away from all this?  There are hurricanes, earthquakes, tornados, mud-slides, blizzards, heat waves, volcanic eruptions and tsunamis, or as Rosanna-Rosanna Danna would say, “It’s always somethin’.”  Now you know all there is to know about hurricanes, which is virtually nothing.




Friday, August 18, 2017

“Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid”


President Trump MAY know how to develop real estate.  That skill set however, is still very much debatable.  He certainly has many business failures to stack up against his successes.  If, after the current investigations are concluded, we find that Don-John is financially solvent and hasn’t accepted financial backing and/or un-secured loans from Russian sources, we must conclude he does know real estate.  In any case, all will agree that President Trump does know how to promote himself.  He is, after all, a constant source of covfefe.

The Fly, Movie, 1986, starring Jeff Goldblum
"Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid

For those in the know, it was determined that COVFEFE was the nuclear launch code on May 31, 2017.  The fact that it was mistakenly tweeted in a late night anti-press storm, brought to light a flaw in our system.  By presidential order, it has now been changed to the more secure PASSWORD.  This is more secure because it has eight letters and not a mere seven.  The WH staff floated the simple and more descriptive BOOM, but saner minds prevailed.  (These saner minds were found within a group of folks on a White House tour.)

Visions of mushroom clouds danced in their heads


Speaking of nuclear holocaust, we do have a severe liability in terms of, how shall I politely put this, the president’s gross ineptitude in all matters requiring a mind capable of grasping anything of a complex nature.  A word of warning is in order here.  The following information may cause:  horror, night sweats, an inability to breathe, paranoia, redundancy, redundancy, a touch of rigor, rectal-cranial inversion, toe-jam football, and excessive belly button lint.  Proceed with caution.

First, a brief bit of background is necessary with regard to the Department of Energy.  The DOE has a budget of $30 billion, employs 110,000 workers, and it was created in 1977, after and in response to the Arab Oil Embargo, by Jimmy Carter.  Prior to this period it was the Atomic Energy Commission and several other groups.  It is responsible for managing our nuclear arsenal, engineering weapon systems, nuclear waste disposal, nuclear risk assessment, the nation's electrical grid, alternative energy programs, and for the design, testing, and production of all nuclear weapons. Admittedly, all small stuff and not of much consequence.  While it has numerous other energy related tasks, we are mostly concerned here with the nuclear side of its responsibilities.



When Rick Perry was campaigning for the presidency, he famously mentioned that he wanted to eliminate 3 federal departments.  When pressured he remembered Commerce and Education but forgot the third.  He later said he had forgotten the DOE.  He didn’t know what they did exactly but he claimed that they didn’t “do anything worth doing.”  Don-John, in his infinite wisdom, placed Rick Perry in charge of the DOE.  As scary as it may sound, President Trump had no idea what the Energy Department did either.  They both probably thought the Department of Energy monitored the manufacture of Red Bull, but they weren’t quite sure. Neither knew the DOE was involved in all things nuclear.

The DOE does not monitor the manufacture of Red Bull Energy Drinks

Most incoming presidents make changes in department personnel but they generally want to know the current players, what they have been doing, and want to make arrangements for a smooth transition.  The DOE had prepared, at President Obama’s direction, a set of five-inch thick information binders, they cleared office space for around 30 staffers, and opened up 30 parking spaces.  They awaited Trump’s transition team.  Days and weeks passed with not a peep from the Trump folks.

A month or so later and people showed up, not to learn about the agency, but were trying to dig up dirt on Obama and dismantle anything he had done.  With everything in limbo, the best of the best started to bail out.  The DOE is all about science and they are responsible for running the 17 national labs.  Rick Perry was the former governor of Texas and it is doubtful he knows much about nuclear physics.  We are over six months into the current administration and he hasn’t spent much time anywhere near the office.  He seems to be spending his time traveling the globe promoting programs that are being cut by others back in Washington.  Trump loyalists seem to pop in and out unannounced.  No one is setting policy or direction so existing programs are just plodding along without a plan.

Rick Perry's face when he was told he would be heading the DOE


The DOE is responsible for nuclear safety.  Everything from spent fuel rods to nuclear munitions falls within their purview.  In the history of the department, there have been atomic (hydrogen) bombs that have been accidently dropped within our borders.  One of the bombs had managed to trip three of four safety mechanisms.

Big Boy, not the burger


Goldsboro, North Carolina was one safety "click" away from a detonation 250 times more powerful than Hiroshima.  Major COVFEFE!  This happened in 1961 but was recently declassified.  We won’t hear about any other such incidents until they too, are old news.  Clerical errors (nasty decimal point in the wrong place) have been responsible for the shipment of plutonium by FedEx that should have been under armed guard.  Inorganic kitty litter is used in barrels to store radioactive waste in salt caverns.  Due to an error, someone used organic kitty litter, which caused the barrels to leak.  The caverns were off limits for additional storage for three years and caused a massive backlog.  These problems are now the responsibility of a globetrotting ex-governor who doesn’t have a clue about this agency and has no interest in learning anything about it.

Drums of nuclear waste safely(?) stored
Chinese label translation: "Run like Hell"


Chinese and Russian espionage are everyday concerns of the DOE due to the nature of their business.  Activities of North Korea are analyzed by the DOE.  The bureaucrats popping in and out of the department facilities don’t seem to have a clue.

Alternative energy program research has been funded by congress through the department.  It has made several successful advances.  These programs are not of much use to the ex-governor of an oil state.  His priorities seem to be elsewhere.

Solar Farm
Rick Perry's comment, "They can grow solar?"


This nation seems to rely heavily upon electricity for its quality of life.  The safety of the electrical grid is another DOE responsibility.  In 2013, a sniper took out 17 transformers and cut specific communications lines.  These transformers and communications lines just so happened to service Apple and Google.  Our dams and hydroelectric plants are also vulnerable to attack.

2013 Sniper knocked out 17 transformers


We have been making plutonium in Hanover, Washington, in the eastern part of that state since the Manhattan Project of the 1940’s.  Now, over 9,000 residents of the area are involved in cleaning up the mess they made.  $3 billion is spent annually on the clean-up.  Trump easily won the votes of these people and now he wants to slash the DOE budget and put these people out of work.  When Trump heard of the Manhattan Project, he became excited.  Then, when he found out it had nothing to do with New York real estate, he lost interest.  The plutonium waste products are already in Hanford’s groundwater and a large mass of radioactive sludge is now headed for the Columbia River.

Restricted Area, Enter and Glow at your own risk


In this new Don-John make your money now and let the future worry about itself era, there is an active policy of don’t ask, don’t tell.  The term "willful ignorance" has been found to be most descriptive.  Repeat the mantra after me, the market will sort it all out.  Don’t worry, be happy.  What could possibly go wrong?


Be Afraid, Be Very Afraid....


The New National Hat


Note:  Much of the information above came from an excellent Vanity Fair article by Michael Lewis titled,

WHY THE SCARIEST NUCLEAR THREAT MAY BE COMING FROM INSIDE THE WHITE HOUSE


Read more here:

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2017/07/department-of-energy-risks-michael-lewis





Saturday, July 29, 2017

Ye Olde Presidential Primer





Ye Olde Presidential Primer

By George Washington

First publication:  March 4, 1797

It shall be the purpose of this primer to provide guidance to new presidents.  Succeeding presidents may amend this publication as they see fit.  It is to be passed on to your successor.
  1. Loyalty – Loyalty is to be earned and not demanded.  It is a natural byproduct of other activities such as “treating others with respect” and “leading by good example.”
  2. Respect – Respect, like loyalty, is earned in much the same manner.  For more information, see the Golden Rule.
  3. Promises – Promises are statements of your future aspirations and intentions.  They are not to be made lightly or for personal gain.  Promises must clearly outline achievable tasks you expect to perform or directly cause to be accomplished by your efforts.
  4. Truth – Truths are statements based on facts.  They have no room for misleading or deceitful information.  True statements should be verifiable and based on reliable sources with proven records of accuracy.
  5. Lies – Lies are the opposite of truth.  They are intentional statements designed to mislead others.  Lies may only be used when stating your age.  Lies may never be used to brag of your accomplishments.
  6. Half-Truths – Half-truths are the most heinous of all lies, as they are attempts to disguise lies by inclusion of some limited truth.
  7. Compromise – You can’t always get everything you desire.  Listen to others and try to agree on a mutually acceptable course of action.  To quote from a song made popular by a small local sextet called Ye Rolling Stones, “You can't always get what you want; But, if you try sometimes, well you might find; You get what you need.”


Thank you, 

George Washington


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Amendments and thoughts of succeeding presidents:

William Henry Harrison:  I don’t have much to say as I feel a cold coming on.

Millard Fillmore:  I got my job when “Old Rough and Ready" Zachary Taylor died in office after drinking unpasteurized milk with cherries.  My recommendation is that you should avoid milk and cherries, especially when they are served to you by your vice president.

Abraham Lincoln:  Be honest to yourself and others.  I’ll have more to say when I get back from the theatre.

Richard M. Nixon:  Beware of tape recorders and The Washington Post.

Ronald Reagan:  Before all important decisions, consult your astrologer.  Mine is Joan Quigley.

Barack Obama:  Make sure you turn off the tape recorder I left hidden in the Oval Office.  To turn it off, just enter the serial number from my Hawaiian birth certificate into the red phone on your desk.  I'm sure you have found a copy by now.  Please note that all recordings are automatically transmitted nightly to the Washington Post.








Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Are We Great Yet?

Candidate Trump was the Man With A Plan.  He was going to do many "great things" on his "very first day" and other items were put off to merely "one of the first things we are going to do."  All things were simple but it was going to take a smart businessman who knew how to get things done to make all of these changes.  He (candidate Trump) had his very own plans and "really great ideas." He was going to Make America Great Again.

Well you have to give him credit for one thing, he did have a really great slogan. It fit on ballcaps, tee-shirts, worked on yard signs, and it used mostly one and two syllable words.  The slogan worked exceptionally well for a man who thinks a thesaurus is a giant lizard that choked to death eating a caveman.

Thesaurus Rex
(Courtesy Assia Alexandrova)


We now have to ask ourselves, "Are We Great Yet?"  Let’s look at the Trump record of accomplishment.  The Reader's Digest summary of his time on the American stage would read that he has: made fun of the disabled, disparaged a Gold Star family, alienated our long-standing allies, made light of sexual assault, questioned the constitutional guarantee of a free press, and fired the FBI director investigating Russian interference in our election process.  I bring this up to briefly memorialize some of his finer moments.  But, getting on to more important matters...

Russian Translation, Make America Great Again

His Major Campaign Promises

He promised:  That he had a plan to build a beautiful 20’ tall wall that Mexico would pay for.

What he did:  He signed an executive order asking Congress to figure out how to build and pay for the wall.

Trump Builds His 20' Wall
(Has anyone thought of crowdfunding a Mexican based 25' ladder factory?)
What’s been done:  The 1,900+ mile wall is estimated to cost between $20 billion and $70 billion of US taxpayer capital.  To put that in perspective, the recently commissioned Gerald Ford class aircraft carrier was estimated to cost $14 billion while its actual final cost was $36.3 billion (typical government estimate accuracy).  Along the Mexican border there was already 694 miles of fencing in place.  Funds have now been budgeted to repair 40 miles of that existing fencing.

On July 20th of 2017, Congress also approved funding for 28 miles of a levee wall and 46 miles of new fencing.  Neither party has expressed any desire to make funding of a border wall a priority.  Mexico certainly won’t pay for the wall and, even if a remittance tax is enacted, it wouldn’t provide the necessary funding.  The ultimate burden would fall to the American taxpayers.

The practicality of the wall is highly dubious.  Over 40% of illegal immigration comes to this country by car, plane or boat using legitimate visas. I would further venture that a border wall would have little to no impact in eliminating the importation of illicit drugs.  Planes, boats, trucks, and shipping containers will be used to circumvent any effort to curb the illegal drug trade.

The promised 1,900-mile WALL will end up being many miles of fencing, a 28-mile wall, electronic sensors and manned patrols.  Some form of border security is needed at all of our borders but, building a giant wall is not the best way to spend our tax dollars. More efficient methods are readily available.  The wall was just another ill conceived idea.
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He promised:  That he had a plan to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare).  There would be “insurance for everybody” with no cuts to Medicaid.  No one will lose coverage and “artificial lines around states” would be eliminated allowing people to buy insurance across state lines. 

What he did:  He told Congress to come up with a plan to repeal and replace the ACA.  When several attempts backfired he was quoted to say, "Now, I have to tell you, it's an unbelievably complex subject," he added, "Nobody knew health care could be so complicated."


What’s been done:  In a word, we're somewhere between nothing and not much.  Neither President Trump nor the Republican Party has any sound idea that wouldn’t cut Medicaid, raise rates, and reduce coverage.  No proposal yet put forward would accomplish even one of the President Trump’s promised improvements to health care.  He famously tweeted to the GOP that it was time to “keep your promise” on health care.  Note that he didn’t mention HIS promised plan on health care only that all recent failures were to be blamed on Congress.  As this was being written the Senate used the Vice President to break a 50-50 tie to advance a proposed bill for further debate.  Glaciers in the arctic are melting faster due to climate change than the Congress is moving on affordable health care.

Yes, the ACA in its current implementation, especially with the recent elimination of the individual mandate, is destined to eventually fail.  It is in dire need of repair.  Blaming Republicans for demanding change over the last six years and not having anymore of an idea on how to provide affordable health care than candidate Trump did, is not productive.  It's time to stop pointing fingers across the aisle and time to start rolling up your sleeves.


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He promised:  That he had a plan to cut the tax rate for middle-income taxpayers to 12.5% and zero percent for those making under $25,000.

What he did:  He issued a one page vague memorandum proposing a tax cut for the wealthiest Americans and a drop in the corporate tax rate to 15%.


What’s been done:  Nothing.  Aside from some negotiations with Congress and the one page memo, nothing has been done.

Congress Working On Tax Plan

---------

Other "accomplishments"

Environment:  While ignoring an overwhelming body of scientific evidence he has denied climate change, pulled out of the Paris Climate Agreement, cancelled rules protecting whales and sea turtles from fishing nets, made a budget proposal to cut the EPA budget 31%, appointed anti-EPA activist Scott Pruitt to head the EPA, forced the removal of climate data from the EPA website, ordered a review of our public lands and national monuments to see which of those could be opened for development, rejected a planned ban of the pesticide chlorpyrifos that causes brain damage in children and farm workers, gutted the EPA Clean Power Plan to reduce CO2 emissions, and removed restrictions on the dumping of coal mine waste into our waterways.

WHY?


NATO:  President Trump said NATO was obsolete.  He later changed his mind stating; “I said it [NATO] was obsolete” “It’s no longer obsolete.”  He realized that our fight on terrorism benefited from our support of NATO.

NATO Flag


China:  Candidate Trump pledged to label China as a “currency manipulator” on his first day in office.  He has since abandoned that pledge.

Torture:  During the campaign Mr. Trump said he would approve waterboarding immediately and “make it also much worse”, and further stated, “torture works”.  He later deferred to the desires of his Defense Secretary James Mattis and CIA director Mike Pompeo, effectively abandoning this course of action.

Waterboarding


Infrastructure:  During his victory speech in November, President-elect Trump stated that the country’s infrastructure , “will become, by the way, second to none and we will put millions of our people back to work as we rebuild it”.  To date no action has been taken to rebuild our crumbling infrastructure.





Jobs:  Candidate and President Trump promised to promote jobs in America.  To Keep America First and “Buy American and Hire American”.  Not only are his clothing lines made “Not in America” he annually files for H-2B visas to hire foreign workers for his Mar-a-Lago Club.  While the local West Palm Beach employment office has over 2,000 applicants wanting those service industry jobs, President “Hire-American” Trump plans to hire 15 housekeepers, 35 waiters, and 20 cooks from overseas.  He filed the visa requests, adding insult to injury, during “Made in America Week.”  He is also expanding the H-2B visa program to add another 15,000 foreign workers to our employment rolls.

Mar-a-Lago Hires Foreign Cooks using H-2B Visa Program
Apparently No American Cooks Were Available to Fill the Position


Summary

In summary, it would seem that Candidate Trump had no plans.  His only plan to Make America Great Again was to delegate the details to others.  This may work well in the business world but, as we see, doesn't work so well over in the government sector.  President Trump is trying to delegate all planning to the same government he has called ineffective.  While I agree with his analysis of Congress, the fact that he wants to dump all responsibility for the plans he said he had on that same government body, epitomises his hubris.

President Trump "talks the talk" but doesn't "walk the walk."  He is rhetoric without substance.  His plan to Make America Great Again has not provided any improvement in the plight of the middle class Americans and blue collar workers who helped put him in office.  These very same people remain hopeful.  They regularly attend his ongoing campaign-style "can I still get some applause please" rallies.  He is still just talking the talk.

Trump's White House Staff Analyze a Current Problem


He is fighting to keep Mexicans on their side of the border and is trying to ban Muslims from entering the country.  At the very same time, he wants to expand the H-2B visa program to allow more foreign workers to fill low wage jobs at his properties and those of other wealthy business owners.

He has managed to punch through a few things to make the wealthiest among us more wealthy.  His laissez-faire capitalistic spin on trickle down economics (aka Reaganomics) didn't work in Reagan's days, didn't work during the Bush years, and won't work now.  Correction, they did help the rich get very, very rich.

Opening the spigot of capitalism at the very top only fills the coffers of those who reside at the top. The very wealthy have become astute at finding ways to keep their money out of the mythical stream that runs beyond their neighborhood. The people further down the economic food chain barely get damp from the "trickle down" that makes it that far.

Trickle Down Economics At Work


Meaningful solutions to the job losses suffered by our manufacturing communities have yet to be proposed.  Factories remain shuttered.  Jobs will still go to those willing to work for less, wherever they reside in the world.  Coal mining will not rebound while natural gas remains a less expensive option. Health care will never be inexpensive, especially while insurance companies and pharmaceutical manufacturers are allowed to make obscene profits.  Revising the ACA is clearly needed but universal affordable coverage will be painful to someone.

As a great visionary, President Trump has been shown to be a bit myopic.

Our Visionary President


The Make America Great Again balloon is full of the hot air that symbolizes Washington, D.C., and President Trump keeps the gondola basket loaded with his empty promises.

Hot Air Balloon Delivering Empty Promises
I postulate that America was always great.  It continues to be great. It is certainly greater than most of the alternatives.  Like any family this large, we have room for improvement. We need to continually revisit what we are doing to see how we can make things better.  Not only for the privileged few at the pinnacle of our pyramid of wealth, but also for the citizen base that provides the foundation of our democracy.











Tuesday, July 18, 2017

In Memoriam

It is with great sadness and sense of loss that we, the American people, announce to the world the loss of our dear friend, Integrity.  After suffering through a prolonged illness, Integrity succumbed to the cancers of corporate greed and political expediency on January 20, 2017.  Integrity was predeceased by her companion of many years, Honesty.

Both Integrity and Honesty traveled the psyche of America for centuries and basked in the knowledge that they represented the ne plus ultra of ideals upon which this great country was founded.  They are survived by their children Hope and Change.

Integrity was well known in political circles many years ago.  However, she fell out of favor when her rival, Money, became the true leader of our government.  Integrity and Honesty will be remembered by the generations of Americans who relish the period in our history when political utterances were not peppered with deceit and lies.  We will long for the time when a person’s word and a warm handshake could be trusted.  We will forever miss our not so distant past, when political rivals could sanely discuss important issues and come to reasoned conclusions that would be of mutual benefit to their constituencies. 

Our American ideals and future are now in the hands of Hope and Change. 


Saturday, July 8, 2017

President Münchhausen and other Tall Tales

You have probably heard of Münchhausen Syndrome or its variation Münchhausen Syndrome by Proxy, where the sufferer lies about either personal illnesses or illnesses of individuals close to them in order to generate sympathy or attention to themselves.  Well, the reference name “Münchhausen” was loosely based on an actual person, one Hieronymus Karl Friedrich von Münchhausen.



You see the real Münchhausen, was born in 1720 Germany.  While generally considered an honest man, he was famous for his storytelling ability where he could enthrall guests with tall tales of his travels in Russia.  He famously married his second wife who was 57 years his junior.  He was 74 and she was 17.  Therefore, we have a connection to Russia, an ability to tell tall tales, and a penchant for younger women.  Whom can you think of with a similar pedigree?

The real-life Münchhausen was then the basis for an even more extravagant fictional character created by a writer, scientist, and con artist, Rudolf Raspe.  This fictional Baron von Münchhausen rode a flying cannonball, traveled to the moon, was swallowed by a giant fish, fought a 40’ crocodile, and used laurel tree branches to fix his horse when the animal was cut in two.  The good Baron relates each tale in a manner wherein he appears to believe every word, no matter how inconsistent they become, and he is indifferent to disbelief he encounters in others.  Hmmmm!

Baron von Munchhausen Rides a Cannonball


Therefore, our own President Münchhausen, can generously thought to be continuing the tradition of telling amusing tall tales.  In American folklore, we have stories of Paul Bunyan, John Henry, Babe the Blue Ox, Sasquatch, Pecos Bill, and the Lone Ranger.  The only problem we have here is that, our President Münchhausen isn’t telling tall tales for amusement wherein sane individuals easily recognize their absurdity; he is actually fooling something just south of 40% of the American public.  Approximately 10% of the remainder simply recognize the falsity of the narrative but elect to either justify the statements with circuitous logic or to just ignore their existence.  The other 50% recognize the foul stench accompanying such a huge mound of bullshit.



Falsehoods uttered to deceive or change opinions and perceptions can no longer be considered to be tall tales but must be called by their true name, lies.  We, the American public, have come to realize and accept that politicians lie rather effortlessly during what we call campaign rhetoric.  We further realize that once they are elected to office, they will expectedly stretch, spin, bend, and twist, the truth like Gumby, to make a point.  Lying for no perceived reason however boldly enters an area, to paraphrase the Star Trek opening, "where no man has gone before." 

On the TV series Seinfeld, George Costanza (played by Jason Alexander) said, “It’s not a lie if you believe it.”  Adolf Hitler (played by Adolf Hitler) said, “If you tell a big enough lie and tell it frequently enough, it will be believed.”  Some individuals, like Robert Ripley, turned lying into an art form.  His Ripley’s Believe It or Not, let you trust your lying eyes or resort to common sense.  Then there was Harry Gerguson, born an orphan in New York, who throughout his life claimed to be Michael Romanoff (of the royal Russian Romanov dynasty).  He used his invented royal credentials to open a Hollywood restaurant, enroll in Harvard, and to make many celebrity friends.  His credo:  stick to the lie, and eventually people might find the whole thing charming.



Our own Liar-in-Chief is different from his presidential predecessors in that he lies for no reason at all.  Previous residents of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue have lied to protect themselves from some perceived harm.  He, by exception, seems to be lying to gain personal attention or to appear more admirable.  Even his self-harming lies seem to satisfy some internal need.  As long as he has unwavering support from his Republican base, he will suffer no direct consequence from his actions.

As a medical condition, it is called pseudologia fantastica, pathological lying, or mythomania.  An individual with this condition lies habitually and for no reason at all.  Some therapists believe individuals may develop this habit as a result of living in an environment where the practice of deception is an advantage.  Many compulsive liars have no ulterior motive for lying and they will tell lies that result in personal damage.  Even after their falsehoods have been exposed, people who lie compulsively may still have great difficulty admitting the truth.




Compulsive lying is commonly tied to Narcissism.  According to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM), a person suffering from NPD or Narcissistic Personality Disorder will often exhibit many of the following symptoms:
  • ·        Preoccupation with fantasies of extreme success, power, or fame
  • ·        Constant need for admiration and affirmation
  • ·        A strong sense of entitlement
  • ·        A belief that others should envy him or her
  • ·        Inflated sense of self-esteem
  • ·        Belief that he or she is special or unique
  • ·        Setting of unrealistic goals
  • ·        Exploitation of others
  • ·        Difficulty maintaining healthy relationships
  • ·        Lack of empathy or the ability to take responsibility for their behavior
  • ·        Cannot tolerate criticism


How many of the above symptoms can you see in our 45th president?


Who me?






Saturday, July 1, 2017

State of the Union by Jack, 4th of July Edition

When Donald Trump won the presidency over Hillary Clinton, my first thought was, how bad can he possibly be?  I'll admit that Hillary Clinton wasn’t my first choice for a democratic nominee, but she was definitely the more qualified of the two final offerings.  While it's true that most politicians have skeletons in their closet, Hillary’s walk-in looked more like Freddie Kruger’s with pants suits.  The Donald also had baggage that wouldn’t fit in the overhead.  Hell, his baggage could sink an ocean liner.  The thing that sold Donald Trump was probably the fact that he wasn’t a politician.  We have tried politicians as presidents and it was now time for something different.  Or so some thought. Anything had to be an improvement over what we had been doing.  We were faced with two not-so-ideal choices.  We ended up with one Donald Trump, real estate tycoon.

Hillary's Closet


With Trump in the White House, I looked for the unseen benefit.  I thought that maybe Washington could use a little shake-up.  Well, January 20, 2017, Washington got a rattling like the 1964 Prince William Sound 9.4 magnitude earthquake.  Maybe this was a good thing.  Perhaps America will wake up now to see that not only does the emperor have no clothes, but also that Congress is acting like a bunch of third graders with a substitute teacher.  I don’t need to reiterate here the numerous missteps of the Trump presidency.  They are the daily fodder of all the major news outlets.  Even the “fair and balanced” Fox Network has occasionally found fault with their Commander-in-Tweet.

Trump White House


President Trump is truly the Teflon Don.  He keeps swinging for the left field fence and hitting nothing but the hot air of Washington in the summer.  He, just like a Kansas twister, keeps changing direction, destroys everything in his path, and eventually heads for the comfort of his fan-base in the trailer park.  Yes, President Trump has followers that have raised him to deity status.  With religious fervor they will follow him through the valley of the shadows of Congress, and fear no evil. He is their designated hitter, to get back to the baseball analogy, and he gets a thousand strikes.

This is not another Trump bashing.  After years of public apathy and putting up with a broken system, perhaps it’s time to let our government find rock bottom so that it can be rebuilt with lessons learned.  Right now, the rest of the way to the bottom looks like it will be a short trip.  The Democrats don't appear to have a clue and seem to be pinning their hopes on the midterm elections of November 6, 2018.  All 435 House seats will be on the block along with 33 Senate slots.  The future looks rather bleak, unless you happen to be one of the wealthy beneficiaries of the current Republican largesse.

Just know that we currently have government officials who believe that:
  •         anthropogenic climate change is a hoax
  •         trickle down economics just needs more time to work
  •         Americans should only get the healthcare they can personally afford
  •         good education should be reserved for the more affluent
  •         their Christian faith is the true and only course for America
  •         schools should be profit centers for business
  •         the earth is less than 10,000 years old
  •         we need to deregulate those responsible for the subprime mortgage crisis
  •         we need to deregulate those responsible for the dot com bubble
  •         job-loss is to be wholly blamed on illegal immigration and our globalized economy
  •         our national drug problem can be solved with more jails and a bigger fence
  •         our jails should be profit centers for business
  •         Congressional gridlock is in the national interest
  •         clean air and water are secondary to the needs of business enterprise
  •         our infrastructure is going to be fine for a few more years
  •         our energy future lies with oil and coal



The election of Donald Trump, with all he stands for, seemed better to many than trusting the existing government structure.  The distrust of our government leaders is not unfounded.  We see the constant shift of power.  It is being taken from "We the People" and shifted to "We the Affluent Minority."   Donald Trump is not the problem.  Like blood in your toilet, he is but a harbinger of a more serious issue.

We can only hope that those who placed their faith in The Great White Hope, aka President Donald Trump, will see that he is not their savior.  They should all soon realize that:

·        the south will not rise again
·        coal mining jobs will not return to bring prosperity to West Virginia, Kentucky, Pennsylvania, etc.
·        the retail job market has forever changed and will undoubtedly shrink even more
·        manufacturing jobs will continue to suffer from automation and cheaper foreign labor
·        the Great Wall on the Mexican border won’t be built as promised
·        the Obamacare replacement won’t be both better and cheaper
·        all politicians lie, even the new ones



Money is the root of all evil, Timothy 6:10.  You didn’t know I could quote the Bible.  I didn’t either.  Money is certainly the root of all evil in politics, Jack 1:1.  Until we can find a way to remove the influence of money in politics, we will all suffer the consequences.  The people no longer vote for the candidate of their choice.  They vote for the candidate that is offered by the financially well-endowed who can afford the most airtime.

Scariest Words in the English Language



I can wish the best for our country but, as a pragmatist, I don’t hold out much hope for our democracy.  I am still proud to be an American, but I am not proud of our government.  I am not proud of the Democrats.  I am not proud of the Republicans.  President Donald Trump may very well be the Mt. Vesuvius to the Pompeii we call America.  His explosive verbal eruptions and pyroclastic tweets foretell a bleak future.  The tectonic plates are rattling, the heat is building, and something has to give.


Mt. Vesuvius












A Legal System in Peril

  Donald J Trump has had his fill of legal problems. He hates judges (except those who side with him) and his wrath knows no bounds. Look ...